Ponsacco vs PD Castellarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PIS
3 - 2
MPO
77%
17%
7%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MPO
1 - 2
ROV
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ACC
0 - 0
MPO
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 1
MPO
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MPO
0 - 4
USR
55%
23%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 1
ROV
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MEZ
2 - 1
PDC
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 2
ROS
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RIC
3 - 4
PDC
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 3
DPC
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |