Ponsacco vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MPO
1 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDT
3 - 1
MPO
62%
22%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MPO
0 - 2
GRO
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
3 - 1
MPO
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MPO
0 - 2
POM
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 2
GRO
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
POM
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRA
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |