Mo IL vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
60.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
MOI
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 2
KJE
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FIN
3 - 0
MOI
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 2
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 1
MOI
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
ULL
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SKE
4 - 1
TRO
65%
19%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 3
FOL
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
GRO
7 - 0
TRO
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
TRO
6 - 1
SEN
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |