Mo IL vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
MOI
2 - 1
NAR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
LEV
2 - 2
MOI
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
MOI
1 - 1
SEN
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MOI
0 - 3
KFU
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ROS
1 - 4
MOI
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
ROS
9 - 1
TRO
55%
20%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
EID
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
TRO
4 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 2
SKE
56%
21%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
LOR
6 - 2
TRO
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |