Mo IL vs Skarp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
ULL
2 - 1
MOI
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
MOI
0 - 2
ASK
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ETO
5 - 0
MOI
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
MOI
1 - 4
SKJ
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOI
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Skarp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
IFS
1 - 0
SEN
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
BAR
4 - 0
IFS
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
IFS
0 - 3
TRO
18%
21%
60%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
LOF
3 - 2
IFS
24%
22%
55%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
IFS
1 - 4
TRO
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |