Mo IL vs Skarp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MOI
1 - 0
STE
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SAL
4 - 4
MOI
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
MOI
1 - 2
STR
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
LOF
1 - 0
MOI
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
BYA
2 - 2
MOI
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Skarp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
IFS
1 - 1
LEV
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
STE
2 - 1
IFS
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
IFS
3 - 1
MJO
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SAL
5 - 1
IFS
25%
21%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -3 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 2
IFS
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |