Mo IL vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KJE
5 - 0
MOI
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 3
FIN
11%
19%
70%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
STA
7 - 2
MOI
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MOI
2 - 5
ALT
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
TRO
5 - 0
MOI
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
4 - 1
ULL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SKE
5 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FOL
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HAR
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
SEN
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |