NK Izola vs Šobec Lesce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
5º
28
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
87.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
61% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Izola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MNK
0 - 2
FCK
6%
14%
81%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SLJ
0 - 0
MNK
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MNK
1 - 1
TOL
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
4 - 0
MNK
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MNK
0 - 1
SEN
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Šobec Lesce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SLE
0 - 2
DRV
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SLJ
0 - 0
SLE
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SLE
1 - 3
BRD
57%
20%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SLE
0 - 1
TOL
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 0
SLE
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |