NK Izola vs Dren Vrhnika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
5º
50
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
87.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
69% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
61% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Izola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SLE
1 - 1
MNK
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
MNK
6 - 1
ADR
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
MNK
2 - 1
SLJ
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 1
MNK
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 1
MNK
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dren Vrhnika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BRD
1 - 2
DRV
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
DRV
2 - 2
SLE
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SLJ
1 - 0
DRV
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DRV
1 - 1
TOL
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 1
DRV
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |