Mladost Lučani vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BZR
3 - 0
MLA
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SRE
1 - 1
MLA
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MLA
0 - 0
ZEM
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 0
MLA
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MLA
0 - 0
BAS
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
MLA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 0
BIG
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TEL
1 - 1
NAP
26%
28%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 1
RNS
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SIN
1 - 1
NAP
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |