Mladost Lučani vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
15º
15º
1
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 58 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 52 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 37 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 34 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 26 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
19% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 1
MLA
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
MLA
1 - 0
RAD
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
NPA
1 - 1
MLA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
JAV
0 - 2
MLA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
MLA
0 - 0
VOJ
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 2
RAD
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 0
JAV
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
JED
0 - 3
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |