Mladost Lučani vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
12º
6º
37
10º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 2
MLA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 3
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 2
MLA
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
2 - 1
RAD
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 0
BUD
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
CRV
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BEO
4 - 3
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
VOJ
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 4
RAD
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
NOV
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |