FK Podgorica vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
5º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MLJ
1 - 1
KOM
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BOK
2 - 1
MLJ
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZET
1 - 0
MLJ
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
MLJ
0 - 0
GRB
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MLJ
1 - 0
IGA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
ZET
1 - 1
OUL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 0
GRB
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
2 - 0
IGA
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
OUL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 1
FKM
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |