FK Podgorica vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
9º
5º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
0 - 1
KOM
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
BOK
1 - 1
MLJ
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 3
MLJ
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MLJ
2 - 1
GRB
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 2
MLJ
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ZET
2 - 0
OUL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
GRB
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 0
OUL
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 1
IGA
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
OUL
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |