Mladost Lučani U17 vs Crvena Zvezda U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
77%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
12º
4º
78
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MLA
3 - 3
VNS
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FKJ
4 - 0
MLA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MLA
5 - 0
FKK
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MLA
3 - 0
BTP
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PTZ
2 - 0
MLA
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CRV
1 - 0
GRA
89%
8%
3%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VNS
3 - 2
CRV
30%
21%
49%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CRV
7 - 0
FKJ
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 4
CRV
6%
13%
81%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CRV
7 - 1
RAD
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |