Mjølner vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
8º
29
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
MJO
65%
19%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MJO
3 - 1
HIS
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
MJO
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MJO
3 - 2
OPP
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
MJO
3 - 3
SKE
57%
20%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
TRO
41%
20%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SKE
2 - 3
SAR
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
FLO
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAR
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
SAR
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |