Mjølner vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
47.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
13º
13º
31
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FBG
3 - 4
MJO
34%
21%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MJO
4 - 4
KON
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ILU
4 - 0
MJO
15%
17%
69%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 2
HAR
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIK
5 - 0
MJO
64%
18%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 1
IFC
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 0
FFK
65%
17%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FBG
2 - 2
FFK
16%
17%
67%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FFK
6 - 1
ILU
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KON
0 - 0
FFK
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |