Mixto vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
CUI
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LUV
1 - 1
MIX
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 2
RON
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
0 - 0
URO
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEC
0 - 2
MIX
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
URO
2 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SIN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
RON
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CEC
0 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MGR
4 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |