Mixto vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
MIX
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
MIX
2 - 0
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 2
MIX
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 2
MIX
17%
22%
62%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
OPE
0 - 4
MIX
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
MIX
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 0
TAN
76%
15%
8%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 1
MGR
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |