Mixto vs Sorriso EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
0 - 1
MIX
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 2
SIN
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 1
MIX
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 3
TAN
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sorriso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 2
LUV
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 3
SOR
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
LUV
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 3
SOR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
3 - 2
SIN
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |