Mixto vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+186%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
URO
1 - 1
MIX
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MIX
79%
16%
5%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
POR
16%
27%
57%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 1
ANA
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NME
1 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NME
2 - 2
LUV
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUI
2 - 2
NME
92%
6%
1%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NME
0 - 1
LUV
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |