Mixto vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+146%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CEC
2 - 2
MIX
44%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIN
3 - 0
MIX
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 2
MIX
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MIX
2 - 2
OPE
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
POC
3 - 2
MIX
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LUV
2 - 1
CEC
81%
14%
6%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
LUV
2 - 1
OPE
82%
14%
5%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 1
LUV
12%
22%
67%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 0
LUV
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LUV
1 - 0
GOI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |