Mixto vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+192%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SIN
1 - 2
MIX
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MIX
1 - 1
OPE
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 2
MIX
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 3
MIX
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MIX
3 - 2
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LUV
2 - 0
SOR
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
LUV
3 - 0
FAS
63%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
RIO
5 - 2
LUV
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
FAS
1 - 2
LUV
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
LUV
4 - 2
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |