Mixto vs Tangará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OPE
2 - 2
MIX
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
4 - 2
MGR
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 1
CRA
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
MIX
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
MIX
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tangará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 0
SOR
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SIN
2 - 1
TAN
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
1 - 0
OPE
18%
23%
58%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +5 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
1 - 3
LUV
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 1
MIX
18%
23%
59%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |