Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Mixto vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 0
CUI
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
MIX
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
MIX
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 3
LUV
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
URO
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 0
CUI
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CUI
3 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 0
SOR
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
POR
4 - 0
CUI
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |