Mixto vs CRAC MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
3 - 0
MIX
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
MIX
4 - 3
LUV
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 4
SOR
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
3 - 0
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
0 - 1
MIX
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 0
LUV
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
0 - 1
MIX
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 3
SOR
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LUV
4 - 0
CRA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TAN
0 - 2
CRA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |