Mixco vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
8º
17
1º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
MIX
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MIX
1 - 1
MUN
41%
29%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIX
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MIX
1 - 0
ACH
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MIX
1 - 3
COB
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 0
ANT
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 1
XIN
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 2
CHI
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ACH
1 - 1
XIN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |