Mixco vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
12º
6º
41
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 0
ACH
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
IZT
3 - 1
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
2 - 2
IZT
24%
26%
51%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
4 - 1
MIX
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MIX
2 - 2
COB
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 0
IZT
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
CHI
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
COB
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACH
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |