Mixco vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 0
MIX
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MIX
2 - 1
CON
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
DEP
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |