Mixco vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
MIX
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 2
CON
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
0 - 2
MIX
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MIX
3 - 1
COB
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
MIX
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAC
4 - 1
SAY
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 1
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 0
ZAC
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COB
3 - 0
SAC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |