Mixco vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
MIX
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MIX
3 - 1
DEP
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MIX
2 - 2
CON
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 0
AUR
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
QUI
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
QUI
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |