Mixco vs Quirigua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SAY
2 - 1
MIX
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 0
MIX
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 1
MIX
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Quirigua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DSA
2 - 0
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
SAC
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
QUI
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
4 - 0
COM
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |