Primera Clausura Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Mixco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 0
SAY
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MIX
0 - 0
CON
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIX
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 0
ZAC
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SOL
1 - 2
NUE
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 0
PUE
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
VEN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
COA
4 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 0
SOL
56%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |