Mixco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
MIX
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 0
SPD
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COA
1 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
5 - 2
IZT
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
MIX
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NUE
4 - 0
ESC
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 0
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
40%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IZT
2 - 0
NUE
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |