Mixco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SPD
1 - 0
MIX
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 0
COA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
MIX
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 1
MIX
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 2
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
LAG
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NUE
0 - 0
ESC
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
XIN
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |