Mixco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
MIX
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 0
IZT
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LAG
2 - 1
MIX
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MIX
4 - 0
COA
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPD
2 - 1
MIX
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NUE
5 - 1
PUE
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 2
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
IZT
1 - 2
NUE
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NUE
1 - 0
LAG
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
COA
2 - 1
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |