Mixco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
MIX
41%
25%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MIX
0 - 0
AUR
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MIX
4 - 1
ESC
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 0
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NUE
3 - 2
PUE
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 0
NUE
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NUE
0 - 0
COA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |