Mixco vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 1
IZT
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 2
MIX
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 2
ANT
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SPD
3 - 2
MIX
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 2
COA
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 0
ANT
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SPD
2 - 1
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 0
COA
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
NUE
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
1 - 2
ESC
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |