Mixco vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
8º
29
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 1
MIX
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
MIX
0 - 0
CHI
43%
30%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COB
2 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MIX
2 - 3
LEO
48%
29%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 0
XIN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 2
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |