Mixco vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
MIX
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
MIX
1 - 0
COB
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAY
1 - 0
MIX
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIX
0 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SPD
1 - 1
MIX
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
HER
28%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAC
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
HER
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HER
5 - 2
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MIX
3 - 1
HER
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |