Mixco vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
IZT
0 - 1
MIX
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 2
LAG
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 0
XIN
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 0
MIX
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
COA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
COA
3 - 4
SPD
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
COA
0 - 1
ESC
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 2
COA
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |