Mixco vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 3
MIX
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SPD
1 - 0
MIX
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
MIX
41%
25%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
COA
1 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COA
1 - 0
AUR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 2
COA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COA
3 - 2
ESC
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COA
3 - 2
IZT
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |