Mixco vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 1
MIX
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIX
2 - 2
DEP
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
MIX
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 3
CDB
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
DSA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAC
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |