Mixco vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 1
MIX
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 1
SAC
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MIX
2 - 0
SAY
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
COB
4 - 2
MIX
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
MIX
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAL
1 - 0
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ANT
2 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ZAC
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COB
2 - 2
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |