Mixco vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAY
2 - 0
MIX
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 0
MIX
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 2
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COB
3 - 2
MIX
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
ZAC
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
SAC
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
COB
2 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZAC
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
DEP
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |