Primera Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Mixco vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
MIX
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 2
MIX
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 0
SPD
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COA
1 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
MIX
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
AMA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAC
4 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |