Mixco vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
IZT
3 - 1
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
2 - 1
LAG
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
COA
0 - 3
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
0 - 2
SPD
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MIX
3 - 1
IZT
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 1
AUR
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
IZT
2 - 1
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
4 - 2
LAG
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
DEP
5 - 2
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |