Mixco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
8º
3º
22
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 0
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 1
GUA
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 0
MUN
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
ACH
51%
23%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ACH
7%
14%
79%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |