Mixco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
12º
9º
30
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 1
MIX
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MIX
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 1
ANT
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
32%
30%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIX
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 3
GUA
50%
28%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZAC
2 - 3
ACH
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 2
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 0
ACH
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
COM
4 - 1
ACH
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |