Mixco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAC
3 - 1
MIX
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 1
COB
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ZAC
3 - 1
MIX
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 1
QUI
53%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
MIX
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 3
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAC
3 - 1
ACH
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
3 - 0
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
COB
2 - 1
ACH
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |